In a literal marketplace of ideas, wall street traders and others bet on political events. Some of them are using data models to predict outcomes, some on gut and “body language.”
Lots of interesting questions as this marketplace of political bets. I want to bet that Russiagate is total BS.
Will Trump be Prez at end of 2019: 65% yes 35% no
Will Mattis be Sec of Def at year end? 92% yes 8% no (Cha-ching! “No” pays off 12 to 1)
Who will “Win” the 2020 Dem Nomination? Beto 20-cents, Kamala 16-cents, Biden 16-cents, Bernie 15-cents, etc
https://www.predictit.org/markets/3/Trump-Admin
