Biden's Path to Victory Does Not Bode Well for Voters

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    • #302368
      Stockholmer
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      • Total Posts: 510

      Like Trump in ’16, he coasted on free media coverage. If that’s the future of campaigning, America’s in trouble.

      https://www.wired.com/story/bidens-path-to-victory-does-not-bode-well-for-voters/

      Democratic Presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden

      THERE’S AN INTERESTING parallel between Joe Biden’s victory in the 2020 Democratic primary and Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 Republican primary. Both ran weak campaigns that managed, through completely different means, to dominate “free” media coverage when it mattered most. And that free coverage outweighed all their election efforts’ floundering in other areas—fundraising, advertising, volunteer support, strategic communication choices. Their shared success, despite their glaring limitations, suggests that the general election will probably be decided by which candidate is better able to manipulate the topics that the mainstream media chooses to cover. That’s true even in the modern era of microtargeted advertising and social-media-enabled disinformation; and it’s particularly relevant as we begin to imagine what electoral campaigns will look like in the midst of (or, hopefully, the aftermath of) the Covid-19 pandemic.

      Biden’s victory is, on one level, entirely unsurprising. He is the immediate past vice president, reminding Democratic voters of a time that they would very much like to return to. He led in national polls throughout the race. He performed poorly in Iowa and New Hampshire, but it took only one victory in South Carolina for him to consolidate the support of party leadership and build real momentum. But that’s too simple of an explanation. It conflates the Biden candidacy with the Biden campaign. Joe Biden’s candidacy was strong. His campaign wasn’t.

      There are a few measurable activities that we generally associate with strong campaigns. They identify supporters, raise money, make headlines, frame the debate, knock on doors, make phone calls, and turn people out to vote. Biden’s did virtually none of those things. Mike Bloomberg spent an unprecedented $500 million on advertising and field campaigning; Biden’s campaign was on the brink of running out of money. Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, and Amy Klobuchar all had memorable debate moments that seized public attention; Biden’s debate performances were cringe-inducing at worst, forgettable at best. Bernie Sanders spent five years building a massive grassroots movement, and built momentum with early victories; Biden barely had field offices in several Super Tuesday states and won elections where he hadn’t bothered to campaign. Biden came out on top because he captured the media narrative at just the right time. A string of prominent endorsements fueled a tidal wave of enthusiastic media coverage. That free media attention proved more powerful than Sanders’ legion of well-organized grassroots supporters or Bloomberg’s limitless checkbook.

      Trump, like Biden, barely spent on advertisements during the Republican primary. Trump, like Biden, didn’t build much of a campaign organization in the early primaries. But Trump received an estimated $2 billion in free media coverage during the Republican primary, completely dwarfing the coverage received by his competitors. Trump drew this coverage through his rallies, his tweets, and his media stunts, relying on instincts that he developed in the 1980s and honed during his years as a reality-television celebrity. Biden has none of Trump’s flair for the dramatic, but he converted his party support into media dominance nevertheless.

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    • #302376
      NJCher
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      • Total Posts: 981

      The Trump part in the introduction is right.  However, I don’t buy that this is what happened:

      Biden came out on top because he captured the media narrative at just the right time. A string of prominent endorsements fueled a tidal wave of enthusiastic media coverage. That free media attention proved more powerful than Sanders’ legion of well-organized grassroots supporters or Bloomberg’s limitless checkbook.

      So what was the media narrative that Biden captured? The author doesn’t state it directly but alludes to voters wanting to return to Obama days.

      In presuming this, he glosses over the fact that prior to the endorsements, numerous billionaire Democratic supporters were panicked over Bernie’s success. We all know this; we read it here. They went to Pelosi and Schumer and said “you better turn this damned thing around.” Thus they pulled together the endorsements, manipulated a few elections through voting machine machinations, made a lot of young people stand on line, and through hook or by crook, managed to “turn this damn thing around.” But that’s not Biden doing it:  it’s the man behind the curtain, the one with many billions to lose should Bernie Sanders become president.

      However, having said that, I would not disagree with the conclusion he draws. In fact I think it is quite likely and that is the way Trump will win. Biden is just plain weak. And lame. Trump is a master of distracting attention. In fact it is the only thing he’s good at. But it can and probably will win him the election this fall.

    • #302377
      Spirochete
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      • Total Posts: 553

      completely given up on him stroking out and  dying sometime this month…

    • #302399
      Fugitive Birdie
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      • Total Posts: 271

      Trump can hold a rally with tens of thousands of people and entertain them.

      Biden can’t even entertain a complete sentence.

    • #302407
      Ohio Barbarian
      Moderator
      • Total Posts: 16,202

      9 to 11 point swings, all in favor of Biden over Sanders, in every Super Tuesday state where there were exit polls. It’s enough for the UN to call for new elections under monitors from say, Sweden. But everyone knows it can’t happen here and so to even claim it’s possible is unthinkable.

      There’s a reason European countries have paper ballots, and a reason why two shadowy companies make most of America’s electronic voting machines, electronic scanners, and tabulators.

      It is better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.--Eugene Debs

      Show me a man that gets rich by being a politician, and I'll show you a crook.--Harry Truman

      • #302679
        Stockholmer
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        • Total Posts: 510

        I still have no clue as to why you do not go to ALL paper ballots. I also do not trust an all mail in system at all. Way too many opportunities to tamper and destroy millions of ballots. I saw that some are proposing drop off boxes in massively dense urban (and thus heavily Dem) areas. Perfect chance for Trumpers to go blow them up or set fire to them, etc etc , to them. How the hell can you salvage those votes?

        • #302705
          Ohio Barbarian
          Moderator
          • Total Posts: 16,202

          @stockholmer Our ruling classes want to make sure they control which votes are counted for whom, just in case they can’t control the masses through their mass media propaganda.

          If you think we are insane for allowing this, I cannot disagree with you.

          It is better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.--Eugene Debs

          Show me a man that gets rich by being a politician, and I'll show you a crook.--Harry Truman

    • #302411
      Fasttense
      Participant
      • Total Posts: 1,038

      Why Not Bernie? Why did the media give Biden a free ride and constantly push anti Bernie memes?

      Because the corporate media, and the filthy rich criminals who own them, only give a free ride to their hand picked front man.

      Trump is one and Biden is one. But in the end only Trump will remain because Biden is a senile crazy lying sexual abusing nut job. And we already have one of those already as president.

       

       

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