He Predicted Both Trump’s Election and Impeachment. What Else Does He Know?

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  • #226688

    ravensong
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    @ravensong

    A conversation with Alan Lichtman, who’s correctly predicted every election since 1984

    Straddling this breach is Allan Lichtman, a history professor at American University, who occupies a more uncertain dominion. Lichtman has predicted the correct outcome of every presidential election between 1984—where he made his first prognostication (a Reagan landslide) in the pages of Washingtonian—to 2016, offering the very lonely opinion that Donald Trump would narrowly vanquish Hillary Clinton.
    ———
    It has the elements of that. I think it’s more tragic than anything else. But mostly what people have come to me saying is, Wow, how did you ever predict this impeachment more than three years ago? I don’t have a formula for predicting impeachment. But I had studied his entire career, and his campaign, and I concluded this was someone who had no respect for the law, no respect for the truth, who had spent his entire life enriching himself, and promoting himself, often at the expense of others. This was someone who had never been held accountable for anything he had done, not for discriminating against minorities, not for hiring illegal immigrants, not for declaring multiple bankruptcies, not for lying about President Obama’s actual place of birth—nothing. And I saw the ways in which he had cozied up to the Russians in the 2016 campaign.
    ———-
    The most overlooked and serious case for impeachment is that Trump is putting the survival of humanity at risk, by not just halting, but throttling back efforts to combat catastrophic climate change. At a time when every scientific analysis is warning that we are at the brink of true existential disaster for all of humanity. I think that is a crime against humanity which he should be impeached for. And indeed, the International Criminal Court, we’re not subject to its jurisdiction, but it makes crime against environment one of the crimes against humanity. But just as Richard Nixon was not impeached for his worst crime, which was the illegal war that killed more than one hundred thousand people in Cambodia, I don’t think Trump will be impeached for his worst crime.

    And while of course I could not have foreseen the particular events in the Ukraine, the characteristics that I pointed out—the concern only for his own interests, disregard for the law, disregard for the truth—the things I highlighted in my book, are exactly the traits that led him quite gratuitously to bring this on himself through his Ukrainian scandal. Which, by the way—people are not aware of this—goes far beyond just shaking down, and I think extorting and bribing, the Ukrainian president. It involves the setting up of a whole rogue private foreign policy operation, accountable to none of the regular lines of authority, and that’s operating independently, directly contrary to American interests, and apparently also operating for the financial interests of those involved, notably the guy heading it up, Rudy Giuliani and his associates.

    He Predicted Both Trump’s Election and Impeachment. What Else Does He Know?

    An intelligent, perceptive, and astute individual.

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  • #226690

    Charles
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    @charles

    Great story.  Well worth reading in full.

    Bernie: "Not Me. Us"

  • #226710

    Ohio Barbarian
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    @ohiobarbarian

    One of his keys to Trump’s electoral defeat is a charismatic and inspirational challenger. Gee, do we have one of those?

    We know now that Government by organized money is just as dangerous as Government by organized mob.--Franklin Delano Roosevelt

    With Bernie Sanders, we have the receipts. --Nina Turner

  • #226856

    3fingerbrown
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    @donaldtuohy

    Agree with everything said about Trump until the cozying up to Russians during the 2016 election thing, since I am still waiting for verifiable evidence of Trump brownnosing with Russian government officials during the campaign trail. 2. It is the president who makes and carries out foreign policy, whether anyone likes it or not, and certainly not the job of behind the scenes spooks with their own nefarious agenda (now THAT would be his description of “rogue”) , even if that is what is actually happening. 3. He hasn’t been impeached yet. But yea, other than that cool, Nostradamus.

    All governments lie to their citizen's, but only Americans believe theirs.

  • #226878

    Cold Mountain Trail
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    @coldmountaintrail

    “the setting up of a whole rogue private foreign policy operation, accountable to none of the regular lines of authority, and that’s operating independently”

    that’s what the ghouliani operation smacked of to me.

  • #226919

    JonLP
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    @jonlp

    Great post.

    The only thing I could predict about the Trump Presidency is that he would spend it in legal trouble since he spent his entire life in legal trouble.

    Tulsi Gabbard - "Not only are they saying that about me, they are basically sending this message out to every veteran in this country, every service member, every American, anyone watching at home fighting for peace and who was calling for an end to these regime change wars ... they are saying that you are also a Russian asset, that you are also a traitor to this country,"

  • #226954

    ColorsoftheRainbow
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    @colorsoftherainbow

    I’d like to know when, with each election cycle, did Allan Lichtman make his predictions?

    That matters.

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