In 18 Months, Repukes Are Very Likely to Control Congress

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    • #434915
      Snort McDork
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      • Total Posts: 5,008

      In 18 Months, Republicans Are Very Likely to Control Congress. Being in Denial Makes It Worse.

      By Norman Solomon, Reader Supported News

      10 July 21

       

      ince the Civil War, midterm elections have enabled the president’s party to gain ground in the House of Representatives only three times, and those were in single digits. The last few midterms have been typical: In 2006, with Republican George W. Bush in the White House, his party lost 31 House seats. Under Democrat Barack Obama, his party lost 63 seats in 2010 and then 13 seats in 2014. Under Donald Trump, in 2018, Republicans lost 41 seats. Overall, since World War II, losses have averaged 27 seats in the House.

      Next year, if Republicans gain just five House seats, Rep. Kevin McCarthy or some other right-wing ideologue will become the House speaker, giving the GOP control over all committees and legislation. In the Senate, where the historic midterm pattern has been similar, a Republican gain of just one seat will reinstall Mitch McConnell as Senate majority leader.

      To prevent such disastrous results, Democrats would need to replicate what happened the last time the president’s party didn’t lose House or Senate seats in a midterm election — two years after Bush entered the White House. The odds are steeply against it, as elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich points out: “Bush was very popular in 2002 in the aftermath of 9/11. According to a retrospective FiveThirtyEight average of polls at the time, he had a 62 percent approval rating and 29 percent disapproval rating on Election Day 2002. And in this era of polarization — where presidential approval ratings are stuck in a very narrow band — it’s hard to imagine [President] Biden ever reaching that level of popularity.”

      https://readersupportednews.org/opinion2/277-75/70353-rsn-in-18-months-republicans-are-very-likely-to-control-congress-being-in-denial-makes-it-worse

      I'm Snort McDork and I approved this message.

      "I like Birdy Num-Nums"

      If you come for Nina Turner, Your ish better be airtight like Tupperware" -Rashida Talib

    • #434943
      djean111
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      • Total Posts: 6,439

      Some of them are wearing the “Democrat” jersey now, that’s all.

      America is not a country, it's just a business. (Brad Pitt, Killing Them Softly)

      Everything I post is just my opinion, and, honestly, I would love to be wrong.

    • #434944
      Ohio Barbarian
      Moderator
      • Total Posts: 21,760

      The only thing this Democratic-“led” Congress has done for my family is the $1400 checks after Lyin’ Biden promised $2000. Maybe there’s some other little thing they have done that I have perhaps forgotten. But what would have pushed me to the polls to support Democrats–extended pandemic relief, Medicare-for-All or even lowering the Medicare age, the PRO Act, raising the minimum wage, even just repealing the fucking Trump tax cuts, a real infrastructure package–did they enact any of those things?

      No, and they won’t because they never had any intention of doing so in the first place. They already deserve to lose. The only question is, do they deserve to lose more than the Republicans? I don’t think so, but that’s probably what will happen.

      It is better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.--Eugene Debs

      You can jail a revolutionary, but you can't jail the revolution.--Fred Hampton

      • #434945
        jwirr
        Participant
        • Total Posts: 1,917

        Well I am very afraid because I am totally dependent on federal programs. And while I am disgusted with Biden’s failure to get anything meaningful done I have experienced Rs deliberately cutting those programs because they hate all of us down here on the bottom. They want us to suffer. So I am glad that I live in MN where we are still thinking .

        jwirr

      • #434946
        Jim Lane
        Participant
        • Total Posts: 865

        @ohiobarbarian

        You write:

        The only thing this Democratic-“led” Congress has done for my family is the $1400 checks after Lyin’ Biden promised $2000. Maybe there’s some other little thing they have done that I have perhaps forgotten.

        At one point, you said that, as a government employee, you had had 5% of your pay “temporarily” withheld because of the pandemic-related shortfall in the budget, but that you had hopes of recouping the money if the federal government provided aid to state and local governments. The American Rescue Plan – the bill that provided the $1400 you keep harping on – also provided $350 billion in aid to state, local, and tribal governments. Was your union able to leverage that to get you the 5%? If so, my guess is that you’re better off than you would be if the Democrats had passed a bill that gave you the $2000 but did nothing else.

        • #434951
          Ohio Barbarian
          Moderator
          • Total Posts: 21,760

          And yes, I did get my 5% back right after they passed that thing. So OK, they did two things for me.

          It’s not enough. Don’t worry, though, I live in the Ohio 11th. After seeing the smear campaign by the Democratic Party against Nina Turner, I am motivated to vote for her in the primary and in the fall assuming she is the nominee.

          No matter what I do, though, there are a LOT of voters nationally who won’t turn out for Democrats in the midterms for the reasons I listed. And Democratic hacks will blame the voters for their party’s own failures. Again.

          It is better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.--Eugene Debs

          You can jail a revolutionary, but you can't jail the revolution.--Fred Hampton

      • #434948
        closeupready
        Participant
        • Total Posts: 2,587

        And I never voted for her – I would write in Mickey Mouse.

        Then one day, I contacted her office because I was alarmed about something and felt that I couldn’t just sit on my ass about it, so yes, I called her office and left a message. (Along with probably hundreds or thousands of other members of her district.)

        Lo and behold, by the end of the week, she actually got out there in front of cameras and introduced legislation which she was co-sponsoring with another Democrat to address the problem. !!

        I gratefully cast my vote for her in the last election, and intend to do so in future elections, on the basis of that one thing alone. Stuff can change, but she DID something.

        On balance, though, the Democratic Party IS a branch of the oligarchic duopoly that runs Washington, so I am no longer a Democrat and I don’t blame anyone for staying home on Election Day. For most people, it makes NO DIFFERENCE how they vote or who is representing them, because their lives steadily get worse either way.

        The opinions and personal views expressed herein are solely those of the author, and should never be taken seriously.

    • #434955
      salemcourt
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      • Total Posts: 2,965

      then democrats may not cut your benefit.  On the other hand, if you are blue-collar, then democrats will outsource your jobs and invite undocumented immigrants to also drive down labor costs.  So, why should any of the working class prefer democrats over republicans?

    • #434964
      salemcourt
      Participant
      • Total Posts: 2,965

      Devan Seabaugh (R) has won GA-LD-34 by a 63-37 margin. This is a 22-point improvement on Trump’s all-time low margin in this suburban Atlanta seat.  Or is it because they passed new election laws to prevent cheating?

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