New Jersey 2020: Generational Divide Between Biden and Sanders On Display
January 20, 2020 at 12:53 PM - Views: 66 #253319
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A new Emerson College Poll looks to the end of the nomination process, the June 2 New Jersey primary. At this point, former Vice President Joe Biden leads the state with 28% of the vote, followed by Senator Bernie Sanders at 25%, Senator Elizabeth Warren at 15%, former Mayor Michael Bloomberg at 9% and former Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Andrew Yang tied for 5th at 6% each. The data was collected January 16-19, 2020, mix mode, n=388, +/-4.9
Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling notes that “Bloomberg’s 9% is the highest we have seen for the former New York Mayor in any state poll this year. If his late start strategy is going to work, he will need to perform well in delegate-rich states such as New Jersey at the end of the nomination season.”
In New Jersey, Biden continues to be popular with older voters, 40% of those over 50 support him. Biden continues to struggle with younger voters, taking only 9% of the vote of those between 18-29 years old. In contrast, Sanders captures the youth vote with 36% support of those under 50, but the Vermont Senator has only 7% support of those over 65. Warren is the third most popular candidate in all four age groups with a range of 12% to 22% support.
Biden leads overall with female voters at 29%, followed by Sanders at 22% with female voters, and Warren with 19%. Males break for Sanders at 28%, then Biden at 27% and Warren at 11%.
Sanders leads among Hispanic voters with 31%, followed by Warren with 28%, and Biden with 16%. Among African American voters, Biden leads with 47% of the vote, followed by Warren at 17% and Sanders at 14%. This bodes well for Biden as it mirrors his exceptionally strong African American support in South Carolina, one of the first primaries. White voters in New Jersey break toward Sanders at 27%, then Biden at 23%, and 13% prefer Warren.
January 20, 2020 at 1:48 PM #253331
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“Biden continues to be popular with older voters, 40% of those over 50 support him.”
Then we get –
” the Vermont Senator has only 7% support of those over 65”
WTF? That means Bernie’s over 50 must be higher than pervert Joe’s.
The spin these people try is absolutely ridiculous.
January 20, 2020 at 2:51 PM #253361
- Total Posts: 682
Those numbers don’t surprise me. I even expected Bloomberg to be a little higher than 9%. NYC right across the river.
NJ is usually very Blue. Many people there routinely “Vote Blue no matter who”. I grew up there among many establishment Dems who were very loyal to the party.
January 20, 2020 at 5:47 PM #253411
- Total Posts: 480
In 2016, New Jersey held its Democratic presidential primary on June 7.
Hillary Clinton, as the official record, received 63.32 percent. Bernie Sanders received 36.68 percent.
The margin was: Hillary +26.64.
Those polling numbers do not suggest, for 2020, a blowout. So, I suggest staying tuned.
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