Poll: Biden, Sanders hold double-digit lead on Trump in Pennsylvania

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    • #45843
      N2Doc
      Participant
      • Total Posts: 7,231

      Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) both hold double-digit leads over President Trump in a hypothetical 2020 White House matchup in the state of Pennsylvania, according to a new poll.

      An Emerson College survey released Friday found both men gaining 55 percent of the vote in a general election battle with the sitting president, while other Democrats held smaller, while many other Democrats held single-digit margins over the president in the state.

      Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) holds a four-point lead over Trump.

      Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) also held a slim lead over the president in the poll, with the support of 51 percent of respondents to Trump’s 48 percent in their head-to-head race. Former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) also slightly led Trump in the poll, with support from 51 percent of voters compared to Trump’s 49 percent.

      more

      https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/436428-poll-biden-sanders-lead-trump-in-pennsylvania-by-10-points

    • #45845
      Ohio Barbarian
      Moderator
      • Total Posts: 13,885

      Well, that explains why the Trumpsters are starting to focus on Virginia.

      It is better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.--Eugene Debs

      If Democrats don’t stand for the people, why should people stand for them?--Jim Hightower

      • #48422
        ColorsoftheRainbow
        Participant
        • Total Posts: 564

        Virginia was Hillary Clinton’s 15th best state. That means it was Donald Trump’s No. 36 best state. This is in reference to the percentage-points margins of states and districts in the 2016 columns for either Hillary or Trump—and ranking them in descending order. Trump won the 2016 United States presidential election with the 24 states carried by the GOP’s losing 2012 nominee, Mitt Romney, and he flipped six states (Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa) and a congressional district (Maine #02) worth 100 electoral votes. Since 1992, the range of carried states have been between 26 and 32. The average, over that period of 24 years and 7 presidential election cycles, were carriage of 29 states. The Republicans (meaning, George W. Bush and Trump), averaging 9 or 10 electoral votes per carried state, need to win 28 states. The Democrats (Bill Clinton and Barack Obama), averaging 12 electoral votes per carried state, need to win 23 states. (Realistically, winners carry at least 26 states so they win more than half the nation’s states.) If this pattern continues, and does so again in 2020, it is highly unlikely re-election for Trump would enable him get enough of a national shift in which he would flip six states and be able to reach in companion states Colorado (his No. 35 best state) and Virginia. (I mention both those states because, with exception of 1992, they have carried the same since 1948. Their margins spread in 2016 was only 0.41 percentage points.)

    • #45846
      Bernie 4 2020
      Participant
      • Total Posts: 1,393

      Can anyone explain how Biden even enters the picture, when he isn’t even running? If he truly does not run by the end of the year, do those points go to the others?   Most polls are useless, IMO.

      I'm done, It's over for now. It was nice meeting all the cool people here.

    • #45869
      Bluesuedeshoes
      Participant
      • Total Posts: 553

      These Biden numbers are pure fiction.

      Have you, personally, encountered even ONE person who even mentions

      that sick prick, yet alone claims they would vote for him?  I have not.

      Greg Lapalina

    • #48603
      Snort McDork
      Participant
      • Total Posts: 3,705

      Yup. Totally fictitious though the efforts of the Clinton News Network.

      I'm Snort McDork and I approved this message.

      "I like birdy num-nums"

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