The war in Syria coming to an end: the Kurdish card still to play
Elijah J Magnier
As the siege around the northern city of Deir al-Zour has been lifted, the war in Syria is heading towards its end, largely due to the political and military intervention of Russia and its allies. Moscow has provided full air coverage for ground forces, and diplomatic support, preventing a US-Turkish military pact against Damascus and also freezing any possible sanctions at the UN. Russia invested also in building up a substantial air force in the Levant, and supporting it with naval and special forces to show the capability of a superpower not only to alter the course of the war but also to impose peace when necessary. By being involved in Syria, Russia has disrupted the unilateral domination of the US over the Middle East since Perestroika.
But why is the war ending? Well, simply because Russia has managed to impose three de-confliction zones, one each in the south, middle and the north of Syria. Russia is even preparing to introduce a fourth one in Idlib, a city under the total control of al-Qaeda- who were once called “moderate rebels”. Al-Qaeda – under the name of Nusra (changed to Hay’atTahrir al-Sham) – managed to impose its full control over the city : Turkey, however, believes it can “control the situation”.
Actually al-Qaeda is preparing itself to change skin again, to create a fake split between “radicals” and “moderates”: still within al-Qaeda, however. In fact, the terrorist group is aware that the last battle would be fought between the walls of Idlib because the Syrian Army is militarily capable of regaining the control of the last occupied northern city. The train of diplomacy and negotiation is on the right track and won’t stop, with or without al-Qaeda and its plans. Today the Syrian Army and its allies are more relaxed in al-Badiya (south-east) after Jordan recalled its proxies and the US stopped supplying weapons to all anti-Damascus forces (including al-Qaeda). And once ISIS is defeated in Deir al-Zour, the remaining cities of al-Mayadeen and albu Kamal will be easy to recover.
So Syria is heading towards ending six long years of war that resulted in hundreds of thousands killed and wounded, and created millions of refugees. However, the end of the war does not mean Syria will automatically recover its sovereignty.Jefferson23, iggy, bbgrunt and 2 othersbroiles, Eggar like thisIt ain't the things you don't know that hurts you, it's the things you know that ain't so.
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