Ukraine Crisis: Is the EU about to split?

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      Joe Shlabotnik
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      Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s State of the Union address in mid-September made it clear how far the political course of the European elites has meanwhile distanced itself from the concerns and needs of the societies in the member states. For many critical observers in the European Union, the question is no longer whether – but when – a split of the EU is to be expected.

      There is much to criticise about the speech of the Commission President. One can take offence at numerous, unreflective statements, at the propagandistic tone, at the inflammatory statements against Russia and much more.
      However, that is not the subject of this analysis. For this purpose, it is sufficient to take a closer look at a core sentence of Ursula von der Leyen’s speech, which reads: “And I want to make it very clear, the sanctions are here to stay”.

      This sentence is causing great concern to a rapidly growing number of citizens in the member states, but above all to the European economy and administration. On the one hand, because the sanctions themselves are more than controversial; on the other hand, because the European leadership’s unwillingness to compromise on the sanctions is increasingly being interpreted as an act of aggression against the member states.

      Inflation in the member states continues its upward course. According to Eurostat, the European statistics office, the inflation rate in the euro area rose to 9.1 % in August. Since the introduction of the euro, the cost of living has never risen as much as it did last month. The highest inflation rates are to be found in the Baltic States (between 21 and 25 %); the lowest inflation rate is in France with 6.6 %. Germany is in the middle of the euro area with 8.8 %. The strongest driver of inflation is energy, which has increased in price by almost 40 % (!) in the last 12 months alone. The upcoming winter months and ongoing warnings of blackouts and bottlenecks in energy supply are fuelling discontent in Europe’s societies: demonstrations are taking place in numerous states, such as in Prague at the beginning of September. Even though the mainstream media is only marginally addressing this issue, protests are expected to increase in the coming weeks.

      More at: https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2022/10/12/ukraine-crisis-is-the-eu-about-to-split/

      A few thoughts: A few clicks reveal that the above excerpt was written by a Russian sponsored think tank. This bothers me not one bit, as long as the arguments are cogent, and the stats align pretty much with what can be gleaned here and there through less forthright western media.

      I’m also surprised, that while European approval of war and sanctions has dropped considerably, that there is still a sizable portion that are in support. I wonder if the European management/investor class will be the last diehard pro-war/sanction cohort because of their privileged position within the top 10% income of society, is enough to insulate them from the coming economic pain. Not unlike the ideological diehard Neo-lib/cons in charge here.  I’m also a bit surprised that the EU is considering adding more states (Albania, Moldova, Montenegro, Northern Macedonia, Serbia, Turkey, Ukraine) to their union, while the economic engine of Germany looks ready to sputter out of existence. But then again, when cancerous growth and exploitation of your neighbors is your only path to economic gain, I guess nothing should come as a surprise.

      ~ All good things are Wild and Free ~

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