ColorsoftheRainbow

Republican voters are less likely to respond to pollsters than Democratic ones are. I’m not sure why that is, but it is so. That means I can add a few Republican % to the polls to get a more accurate forecast. If you recall, that worked out quite well for me in October and November 2020. I’m just doing the same thing here.

What’s really…[Read more]

@ohiobarbarian writes,

“Things could theoretically change, but as @colorsoftherainbow will no doubt be happy to point out, everything I’ve said here is supported by her astute observations of voting patterns in midterms for the last couple of generations.”

I think the general direction of these 2022 midterm elections on the watch of a low-a…[Read more]

No blaming, no shaming. Just support for well-considered decisions, even if individually we don’t always agree with a person’s choice.

@mrmickeysmom @ohiobarbarian @colorsoftherainbow @mizzgrizz @closeupready @babel17

@colorsoftherainbow

I believe I first saw/heard him doing interviews on the old Air America along with some other dude whoose name escapes me, but I initially associated him with progressive causes. Had no idea he smoozed with Brock.

Never had any interest in what he said…… still don’t have much interest in what he says.

@colorsoftherainbow  Rogan made the statement above in some interview.  I’m sure you can find it with a search if your that interested….. I’m NOT.

@colorsoftherainbow If Krystal’s right, it’ll be senior who put Biden over the top in Florida, in addition to suburbanites. I don’t know. Florida politics are uniquely complicated.

@colorsoftherainbow If what’s happening in Texas takes place in the other swing states, you’re going to get 49 of 50 states. The only one I think Trump might hold onto is Iowa, and Ohio is three Iowas in Electoral College votes. But Texas is about two Ohios.

If there’s enough a suburban turnout in Des Moines, and Cedar Falls and Dubuque?

You…[Read more]

@colorsoftherainbow
I am being hyperbolic, but yes, what Nancy is doing is crazy with that commission.
They do rig primaries, ignore the left when they are complaining about social media censoring them and helping the establishment, which makes their complaints about the same thing ring hollow as they benefited themselves on the same actions.

@colorsoftherainbow And I haven’t even factored in massive Republican voter suppression there. I want to see more polls showing it neck and neck before I change my rating. And this is 2020, it’s not any other year. I don’t subscribe to your pattern theory, not this year. Besides, “leans” doesn’t mean I’m calling Texas, or South Carolina for that…[Read more]

@colorsoftherainbow The two polls I saw showed the Democratic challengers with 4 to 5 point leads. Maybe they’re accurate, but they were the first I’ve seen showing that and I’m not that familiar with the pollster.

My maps are somewhat conservative, as I’m bound and determined not to make the mistakes a lot of prognosticators did four years ago.…[Read more]

@satan @colorsoftherainbow has a good idea. So who DOES Hitler prefer? Or Dahmer? Or…well, you can poll quite a large sample, I imagine.

@colorsoftherainbow Of course, they’re not going to do that any more than Obama was going to drink Flint’s tap water.

@colorsoftherainbow True, if someone’s a fraud pretending to be a progressive when they know they’re not they’re obviously not progressive. But many people who really are progressives will vote for Biden because they got suckered into the Lesser Evil thing. I may think they’re damned fools, but people of any political persuasion can be damned…[Read more]

@colorsoftherainbow

Hi cotr,

Yep – one party – two fictions – one master – the 1%.

TAT

Ana Kasparian refused to go along. @colorsoftherainbow If Cenk doesn’t retract that now, then he’s bent the knee and made himself irrelevant. Why should the Democrats treat him with any respect if he’s going to vote for them no matter what they do because Trump Bad?

@colorsoftherainbow I question the validity of that model in light of recent events. This country hasn’t seen anything like this since the election of 1932, or maybe 1840.

@colorsoftherainbow I hope there are more Ohio polls in the next couple of weeks. There haven’t been any recent ones from Texas, for some strange reason.

I’m not ready to count Trump out just yet, but right now I’d say he has at least a 90% chance of losing.

@colorsoftherainbow I hope there are more Ohio polls in the next couple of weeks. There haven’t been any recent ones from Texas, for some strange reason.

I’m not ready to count Trump out just yet, but right now I’d say he has at least a 90% of losing.